Research

Dr. Monica Beeder’s research lies in development economics, conflict economics, and the economics of crime, with additional interests in political economy, behavioral economics, and experimental economics. Her work examines how illicit markets, ethnicity, discrimination, violence, exploitation, and state interventions shape social and economic outcomes. She is also actively engaged in research on reproducibility and replication in quantitative social science.

Publications

Comparing Human-Only, AI-Assisted, and AI-Led Teams on Assessing Research Reproducibility in Quantitative Social Science

With Abel Brodeur et al.
Accepted in PNAS, 2026

Reproducibility and Robustness of Economics and Political Science Research

With Abel Brodeur et al.
Nature, 2026

Science aspires to be cumulative. Reproducibility efforts strengthen science by testing the reliability of published findings, promoting self-correction, and informing policy-making. Computational reproductions, whereby independent researchers reproduce the results of published studies, are an essential diagnostic tool. However, little social science reproduction and robustness has been conducted at scale. This article reproduces original analyses and conducts robustness checks of 110 articles published in leading economics and political science journals with mandatory data and code sharing policies. More than 85 percent of published claims were computationally reproducible. In robustness checks, 72 percent of statistically significant estimates remain significant and in the same direction, and the median reproduced effect size is nearly the same as the originally published effect size.

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Effects of Jobs on Ethnic Switching: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Ethiopia

With Lovise Aalen, Andreas Kotsadam, and Espen Villanger
Journal of Development Studies, 2025

This paper studies whether formal employment can induce ethnic switching in Ethiopia. Working with 27 firms across five regions, the project randomized job offers to women and followed them over time. The findings show that formal employment substantially increases ethnic switching, suggesting that employment can reshape identity when it reduces dependence on land-based and ethnic networks. Qualitative evidence indicates that instrumental considerations, including fear during work commutes, are an important mechanism.

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Working Papers

Throwing Gasoline on the Cocaine Production: The Effect of a Supply Shock on Violence

Job Market Paper

This paper examines whether lower input costs in cocaine production increase violence in Colombia. It exploits an exogenous supply shock in smuggled gasoline from Venezuela, an important input in cocaine production, and uses a difference-in-differences framework comparing areas with different exposure to the shock. The findings show that the shock increased coca cultivation and raised homicides by between 22 and 31 per 100,000 inhabitants, corresponding to roughly a 40 to 50 percent increase in the homicide rate. The paper highlights how price changes in one illegal market can spill over into another and intensify violence.

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Coca plants

Photo of coca leaves by researcher

Rights and Wrongs: A Workplace Rights Information Experiment among Temporary Migrants

With Julia Teufel

Temporary migrants power key industries in many countries, yet often face poor working conditions. Vulnerability to such conditions is increased by limited knowledge of workplace rights, language barriers, and, in some cases, lack of prior work experience. One common policy response is the use of information interventions aimed at increasing rights awareness and empowering migrants to seek better working conditions where choice is possible. Despite their widespread use, evidence on their effectiveness remains limited. This paper presents results from a randomized controlled trial evaluating a workplace rights information intervention in a longitudinal study of temporary migrants in Australia. The findings show that workers with limited rights awareness and little prior work experience experienced worse employment conditions. While the intervention increased participants’ perceived sense of control over workplace decisions, workplace rights knowledge increased in both treatment and control groups over time. Increased rights knowledge was associated with improved working conditions, particularly among workers with limited English proficiency and less prior work experience. However, structural constraints, including dependence on employers for visa extension requirements, may limit the extent to which information alone can improve outcomes.

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Interpersonal and Ethnic Bias in Ethiopia

Revise and Resubmit, Journal of Development Studies

This project studies how women and their partners in Ethiopia discriminate on the basis of ethnicity. Using two randomized vignette experiments conducted with 1,200 women and their husbands or partners across five regions, the paper examines ethnic bias toward both politicians and ordinary villagers. The results show substantial ethnic bias against politicians from other ethnic groups. By contrast, the women do not display ethnic bias against a local villager, whereas their partners do. The paper contributes to the literature by showing that ethnic discrimination varies by context and that men may discriminate more strongly than women even within the same household.

Ethiopia

Photo of Ethiopian workers by researcher

Replication Report: Checking and Sharing Alt-Facts

With Erik Ø. Sørensen
I4R Discussion Paper Series 34, The Institute for Replication (I4R)
Read the report

Work in Progress

Military Drones and Radicalization in an African Context

This paper studies whether drone strikes affect civilian attitudes toward public and traditional institutions. Combining geocoded Afrobarometer data with the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED), it uses a quasi-experimental regression discontinuity design to compare respondents living close to attacks before and after bombing events. The preliminary evidence suggests that strikes can reduce trust and alter perceived threat from terror organizations, although the analysis remains constrained by limited data near attacks in both space and time.

Justification of Exploitation

Joint with Hannes Rusch and Julia Teufel, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Crime, Security and Law.

Exploitation of Workers

Joint with Hannes Rusch, Lennart Reddmann, Till Vater, and Thomas Meissner.

Research Themes

Across her projects, Dr. Beeder studies four broad themes: illicit markets and violence; ethnicity and discrimination; conflict, insecurity, and civilian attitudes; and reproducibility in social science. Her research combines causal inference, survey experiments, field experiments, and geocoded conflict data to address questions at the intersection of economics, conflict, and development.